Saturday, March 15, 2014

UKRAINE/ Russia the U.S. and EU

Name calling and finger pointing serve no useful purpose; The U.S., EU and Russia need to turn down the volume.  The Ukraine is and has been a" bankrupt" economy for 50+ years. In addition, as with many of the former Republics of the Soviet Union, there are serious ethnic divides. Economic issues cannot be reasonably addressed in absence of resolving ethnic divides.  The resolution of matters should be self evident to all but the politicians on both sides of the pond.

The U.S and EU via NATO were eager to divide Yugoslavia into many ethnic pieces recognizing each as an independent State and incorporating the same as part of the U.N. You would think a plebiscite/referendum within each ethnic region of the Ukraine would be welcome by all. Alas, geopolitics does not bode well for reasonable solutions to underlying and long simmering issues of ethnicity and ideology. Each region of what the West view as the Ukraine, should be entitled to  the right of self determination. Lines the circumscribe what we consider nation/states have been re-drawn many times within the past 100 years. Once the ethnic divides are resolved by the separate regions of the Ukraine, the boundary line can be re-drawn.

By re-drawing the boundary lines, both the U.S/EU and Russia will be able to determine economic commitments to resolving the "bankruptcy" of the region. For the purpose of illustration, should western Ukraine [ once part of the Austro-Hungarian Empire circa 1867-1918 ] determine to be independent; than the West/ US-EU would have to come to the financial rescue of approximately
22 million people and Russia would be burdened with dealing the remaining 26 or so million people of annexed or affiliate regions.

The bottom line, rhetoric aside, is how to divide, manage, reconstitute and fund the roughly 48 million folks within the present boundary of Ukraine. Without first resolving ethnic divides, "loans" US-EU largess , and the financial contributions of Russia remain unknown, and bloodshed will continue as it has for hundreds of years in the area.  The U.S.government has jumped into a cesspool with no measurable benefit to U.S. citizens and taxpayers.

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